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No upcoming events at this time “It’s the most wonderful time of the year…” or is it? Wait, I might be experiencing some holiday season nostalgia. Most everyone I know would not sing those words to describe “Tax Season”. Tariffs are the talk of corporate America right now. The markets (^GSPC, ^IXIC, ^DJI) are seeing si
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News
The Treasury Market Is Sending A Warning That Weak Economic Data Can’t Fix
3+ day, 23+ hour ago (425+ words) Weak economic data is supposed to pull long-term interest rates down. Instead, Treasury yields have been climbing, and Brookings Institution senior fellow Robin Brooks says that reversal is evidence that demand for U.S. government debt is weaker than it looks. That…...
Trump Threatens to Stop Trading With Deficit Countries Unless the Fed Cuts Rates
1+ week, 14+ hour ago (483+ words) President Donald Trump responded to an unexpectedly strong August jobs report with an unusual ultimatum for Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh: lower interest rates or he could stop trading with countries that run surpluses against the United States. The threat…...
Anthony Scaramucci Says Bessent And Lutnick Have The Same ‘Potomac Fever’ He Once Did
1+ week, 3+ day ago (451+ words) Anthony Scaramucci lasted just 11 days as White House communications director, but nearly a decade later he thinks the experience gave him a diagnosis for what can happen when successful Wall Street figures get close to political power. He calls it…...
Scott Bessent’s Bond Rally Is Gone. The Market Is Back Where He Started.
1+ week, 3+ day ago (216+ words) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shocked the bond market on Aug. 19 by doubling planned purchases of long-dated government debt, briefly pushing the 30-year Treasury yield sharply lower. Less than two weeks later, the 30-year yield is back above 5.28%, essentially where it…...
The AI Trade Has A New Risk: Voters Who Don’t Want The Data Centers
2+ week, 3+ day ago (186+ words) Politics changes the nature of that bottleneck because money can't solve it as easily. A hyperscaler can pay more for memory, finance a new power plant or sign a long-term electricity contract. It can't simply buy permission from a community…...
Scott Bessent Calls It A Bond Buyback. Charlie Bilello Calls It Debt Reshuffling.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (277+ words) “This is debt reshuffling, not debt reduction,” Bilello said. His objection goes directly to the tension inside Bessent's intervention. Treasury wants to improve liquidity and ease pressure at the long end of the yield curve without pretending that buying outstanding…...
Trump Says Growth Can Solve The $40 Trillion Debt Problem. A Wharton Economist Says The Math Doesn’t Work.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (338+ words) President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have settled on an appealing answer to a deeply unappealing number. With the national debt now above $40 trillion, both say the United States can grow its way out of the problem. Kent…...
Kevin Warsh Wanted The Fed To Say Less. Jackson Hole Is Forcing Him To Say More.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (344+ words) The tension is unusually personal for a central-bank communications dispute. Warsh wants investors to rely less on Fed guidance and more on economic data, but economists and traders aren't merely asking him to predict the next interest-rate decision. They want…...
BofA Says Bessent Needs To Get The 30-Year Treasury Below 5%
3+ week, 1+ day ago (316+ words) Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett has put a number on Scott Bessent’s bond-market problem: 5% on the 30-year Treasury yield. If the Treasury secretary’s expanding buyback program can’t push long rates below that threshold, Hartnett expects pressure to spread beyond…...
Goldman Says Slowing Inflation Is The Bond Market’s Best Hope
3+ week, 1+ day ago (304+ words) The inflation data are finally giving that argument something tangible. Consumer prices rose 3.4% from a year earlier in July, down from 3.5%, while core inflation slowed to 2.5%, its lowest level since February. Producer-price inflation also came in softer than expected, adding…...